top of page
POLL SHOWS DEAD HEAT IN LA CD2: GONEZ TIED WITH NAZARIAN
Insurgent Newcomer Manny Gonez Lands at 15%, Despite Years in Office, Adrin Nazarian is Only at 18%, Well Within Margin of Error
A survey1 of Los Angeles City Council 2 nd District (LACC2) voters likely to cast a ballot in the March 2024 primary election shows a very competitive election to succeed termed out City Councilman Paul Krekorian. Currently, the race is “unformed” as a majority (53%) of voters are undecided; however, two candidates for a “top tier” and are able to separate themselves from the field. As Figure 1 shows, Manny Gonez, the Policy Director of TreePeople and former State Assembly member Adrin Nazarian, are in a statistical tie and well ahead of the other candidates.
Figure 1: Initial Vote for Los Angeles City Council 2nd District
The survey provided voters with biographical profile statements for three candidates – Gonez, Nazarian and Sam
Kbushyan. Following these profiles, Manny Gonez’s level of support increases 12-points to 27%, putting him four
points ahead of Nazarian (23%), whose vote share increased a more modest five points. (See Figure 2) Kbushyan
and Burgos are tied for third place with five percent and more than a third (36%) of LACC2 voters remain
undecided.
Figure 2: Vote for Los Angeles City Council 2nd District After Candidate Profile Statements
Overall, these results show Manny Gonez to be well-positioned for the March 2024 Los Angeles City Council 2 nd
District primary election. He enters the race as one of the top contenders, his support increases significantly and he takes the lead after voters learn more information about him and his main rival, former State Assembly member
Adrin Nazarian.
1 Survey Methodology: From, August 27-31 2023, FM3 conducted a survey of 456 Los Angeles Council 2 nd District voters likely to cast a ballot in the March 2024 Primary Election. Respondents were contacted via text messaging, email and telephones and interviews were conducted online and via landline and cell/mobile telephone by live interviewers. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. The sample margin of error for the results is +/4.9% at the 95% confidence level; the margin of error for population subgroups will be higher. Due to rounding, some percentages may not sum to 100%.
bottom of page